Will Northern Taiwan Declare Typhoon Holiday? Typhoon Bavi Triggers Sea Warning! Weather Fanpage: 5 Counties at 100% Impact Probability, Work/School Suspension Announcement Time and Latest Path Revealed

The Central Weather Bureau officially issued a sea typhoon warning for Typhoon Bavi at 2:30 PM today. According to the latest updated '120-hour typhoon wind impact probability' data, northern and northeastern regions face an extremely high threat, with Keelung City, Taipei City, New Taipei City, Taoyuan City, and Yilan County all reaching a 100% impact probability. Across Taiwan, a total of 10 counties and cities have impact probabilities exceeding 90%. As residents anxiously await decisions on work and school suspensions due to the approaching storm, the four northern municipalities—Taipei, New Taipei, Keelung, and Taoyuan—are expected to jointly announce suspension decisions by 8 PM tonight. The bureau urges coastal and localized areas to remain vigilant against strong winds and heavy rainfall.

Sea warning officially issued! Typhoon Bavi threatens Bashi Strait and eastern waters

The Central Weather Bureau issued the sea typhoon warning at 2:30 PM today. Latest observational data shows Typhoon Bavi is currently located about 920 kilometers southeast of Eluanbi, moving northwestward. The bureau forecasts this path will threaten the Bashi Strait, southeastern waters of Taiwan, and northeastern waters of Taiwan, urging vessels operating or navigating in these areas to heighten alertness.

Affected by the typhoon's outer circulation, the bureau notes that localized areas in Taiwan may experience sustained winds of Beaufort scale 6 or higher, or gusts of scale 8 or above, from today through tomorrow evening. As the typhoon approaches, coastal waves and winds will gradually intensify. Residents are advised to avoid beach activities and prepare typhoon emergency supplies in advance.

Northern and eastern regions hit first? 5 counties at 100% wind impact probability

As the typhoon's path and circulation range become clearer, the likelihood of impact across Taiwan has significantly adjusted. According to the Central Weather Bureau's latest '120-hour typhoon wind impact probability' data, northern and northeastern regions are the most vulnerable. As of the latest update, Keelung City, Taipei City, New Taipei City, Taoyuan City, and Yilan County all show a 100% probability of typhoon-force wind impact.

In addition to these five highly affected counties, a total of 10 counties and cities across Taiwan exceed a 90% impact probability. Lienchiang County reaches 99%; Hsinchu City, Hsinchu County, and Hualien County are all at 98%; Miaoli County reaches 96%. Central and southern regions show lower probabilities: Taichung City at 85%, Changhua County at 79%, Nantou County at 78%, Yunlin County at 64%, Taitung County at 57%, Chiayi City at 52%, and Chiayi County at 45%. Southern cities including Tainan, Kaohsiung, and Pingtung range between 20% and 30%. Outlying islands show Green Island at 70%, Lanyu at 55%, Penghu County at 28%, and Kinmen County at 22%, reflecting an overall north-high, south-low trend.

When will suspension decisions be announced tonight? Northern four cities to coordinate timing

With multiple counties facing 100% or near-100% wind impact probabilities, the public's top concern is whether work and school suspensions will be implemented tomorrow. Due to closely connected commuting patterns in the northern region, Taipei, New Taipei, Keelung, and Taoyuan cities have initiated tight data analysis and cross-municipal coordination based on a shared decision-making mechanism.

Insiders from local government offices reveal that the northern four cities plan to jointly announce whether work and school will be suspended the following day by 8 PM tonight, based on the latest rainfall and wind forecasts and the expected timing of the typhoon's wind field arrival provided by the Central Weather Bureau. Yilan County and Lienchiang County, also facing high impact probabilities, will assess real-time weather data and announce their decisions later tonight. Residents are advised to closely monitor official announcements from their respective county and city governments.