The Bank of Korea (BOK) raised its base interest rate by 25 basis points on Thursday (16th), increasing it from 2.5% to 2.75%. This marks the first rate hike since January 2023 and triggered a severe market sell-off, with the Korea Composite Stock Price Index (KOSPI) plunging as much as 6.48% during trading. Market heavyweights Samsung Electronics and SK Hynix dropped over 8% and 11% respectively.
The BOK raised the 7-day repurchase agreement rate to 2.75%, in line with expectations from all economists surveyed by Bloomberg. This decision signals the beginning of a new monetary policy cycle. The central bank had previously cut rates four times since the end of 2024, with the last hike occurring in January 2023.
For months, the Bank of Korea has been sending increasingly hawkish signals. Governor Shin Hyun-joon has repeatedly emphasized since chairing his first policy meeting in May that inflation, economic growth, exchange rates, and financial stability risks all point in the same policy direction, minimizing the trade-offs that typically complicate monetary decisions.
According to the BOK’s analysis, persistently high inflation around 3% was the core factor behind the decision to tighten monetary policy. Last month, South Korea’s consumer price index rose 3.2% year-on-year, significantly exceeding the central bank’s 2% inflation target.
Sustained inflationary pressure stems primarily from rising international oil and raw material prices following the outbreak of conflict in the Middle East. However, strong semiconductor exports have driven continued domestic economic growth, providing the central bank with greater flexibility to tighten monetary conditions.
Governor Shin is scheduled to hold a press conference later on Thursday. Investors will be watching closely for how policymakers assess stronger-than-expected economic growth, widening inflation pressures, and rising financial stability risks.
South Korean authorities have revised growth forecasts upward multiple times, now expecting GDP growth of 3% this year. Last week, the International Monetary Fund (IMF) identified South Korea as the country with the largest upward revision among the world’s 30 major economies, raising its 2026 growth forecast to 2.6%.
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- Source: PR Times
- Category: News