[Tomorrow's Nikkei Average Forecast AI] AI Visualizes 'Next Day's Market Probability' | Nikkei Average x Bitcoin AI Diagnostic App Analyzes Probability of Rise/Fall and Expected Range

PhoenixConnect Inc. (Representative: Yasuyuki Takiuchi) offers the "AI Nikkei Average x Bitcoin Diagnostic App," an investment decision support tool that uses AI to analyze market data and present the probability of rise, probability of fall, and expected range for the next day as "Tomorrow's Nikkei Average Forecast AI." This service integrates and analyzes multidimensional data, primarily focusing on market data from the Tokyo Stock Exchange, along with foreign exchange rates, VIX index, semiconductor index (SOX), and investor sentiment data. By visualizing market direction as probabilities, it aims to reduce traders' "decision-making hesitation" and "emotional trading," enabling rational investment decisions based on data.

■ Determining "Tomorrow's Nikkei Average" Dictates Trading Performance

For investors trading in the stock market, a consistently important theme arises.

That is the question:

"Will tomorrow's Nikkei Average rise or fall?"

The Nikkei Average stock price is the central index of the Japanese stock market, and it influences many markets such as:

・Nikkei 225 Futures
・Nikkei Average CFD
・Individual Japanese stocks

Therefore, if the direction of the next day can be grasped in advance, it becomes possible to more rationally design:

・Entry strategies
・Position management
・Risk control

However, in the actual market, many traders experience a situation where they are:

"Hesitant to make a decision despite analyzing."

■ The "Information Flood" Makes Market Judgment Difficult

In modern financial markets, traders are surrounded by a vast amount of information.

For example, information such as:

・Trends in the US stock market
・Foreign exchange rates (USD/JPY)
・Semiconductor index (SOX)
・VIX index
・Corporate earnings
・Central bank policies

All of this information is important, but the problem is:

There is simply too much information

For instance, if:

US stocks are rising
The foreign exchange rate is strengthening the yen
Semiconductor stocks are falling

In such a situation, one ends up in a state of:

"Unable to determine which way it will ultimately move."

This is the cause of traders'

"decision-making hesitation."

■ Markets are About "Probability," Not "Prediction"

In the world of professional traders, it is said that:

Markets are not something to be predicted, but something to be considered in terms of probability.

It is impossible to predict the future with 100% certainty in financial markets.

However, it is possible to analyze:

Which possibility is more likely

For example, in a situation where:

Probability of Rise: 63%
Probability of Fall: 37%

The decision would be to prioritize strategies in the direction of the rise.

This

probabilistic thinking

is what enhances the reproducibility of trades.

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