[Tomorrow's Nikkei Average Prediction AI] To investors who "don't know why they can't win"... What is the "common structure" behind repeated losses?

An introduction to an AI app that predicts the Nikkei Average and Bitcoin. It addresses the common problem of inconsistent judgment among retail investors and proposes utilizing expected value through AI-calculated probabilities and price ranges.
新製品NQ 66/100出典:PR Times

📋 Article Processing Timeline

  • 📰 Published: April 4, 2026 at 00:34
  • 🔍 Collected: April 4, 2026 at 05:30 (4h 56m after Published)
  • 🤖 AI Analyzed: April 21, 2026 at 02:38 (405h 7m after Collected)
Despite continuing to invest in stocks,

**"I don't know why I can't win."**

Have you ever felt this way?

You think you can read the market, but somehow no profits remain.
If you buy thinking it will go up, it goes down; if you sell thinking it will go down, it rebounds.

This kind of "disconnect" is a common challenge faced by many retail investors.

So, where does the cause of this lie?

The reason why you "lose even when doing correct analysis"

Many investors do not trade completely thoughtlessly.

- Checking the news
- Checking economic indicators
- Analyzing charts

However, the results are still unstable.

The reason for this is that,

**"The axis of judgment is inconsistent."**

The market does not move for a "single reason"

The current Japanese stock market is structured so that multiple factors affect it simultaneously.

- Corporate earnings (Fundamentals)
- Fund flows by investor type (Supply and demand)
- Interest rates and exchange rates (Macro)
- Overseas markets (US stocks, semiconductor index, etc.)

When these overlap,

**A state is created where "reasons to rise" and "reasons to fall" exist at the same time.**

Why does judgment waver?

In this environment, investors unconsciously take these actions.

- Changing judgment based on the latest news
- Wavering judgment due to unrealized losses
- Taking profits too early

As a result,

**They are not trading with the same rules.**

What is needed for investing is not "prediction" but "standards"

What is important here is that,

**Investing is not a "guessing game."**

Inherently, what is important in investing is judgment based on **"expected value"**, such as:

- What is the probability of an increase?
- What level of risk is there?
- What price range is expected?

The concept of "Tomorrow's Nikkei Average Prediction AI"

What is drawing attention against this background is,

**"Tomorrow's Nikkei Average Prediction AI."**

In the AI Nikkei Average x Bitcoin Diagnosis, it presents numerically:

- Probability of rising
- Probability of falling
- Expected price range

This is,