[AI Forecast for Tomorrow's Nikkei Average] To Investors Wondering "Why Can't I Win?"... What is the "Common Structure" Behind Repeated Losses?
PhoenixConnect Inc. points out that the reason many retail investors lose money despite their analysis is an "inconsistent decision-making axis." To solve this, the company introduces its investment decision support app, "AI Forecast for Tomorrow's Nikkei Average." The app's AI analyzes multi-dimensional data from the Nikkei Average and Bitcoin markets to present probabilities of rises/falls and expected price ranges, supporting consistent, probability-based investment decisions free from emotional sway.
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- 📰 Published: April 4, 2026 at 00:34
## AI Forecast for Tomorrow's Nikkei Average: An investment decision support app where an AI analyzes the probability of rise/fall and expected price range for the Nikkei Average × Bitcoin.
Even though you continue to invest in stocks,
have you ever felt,
**"I don't know why I can't win."**
You feel you should be reading the market correctly, yet somehow, you're not left with any profits.
You buy, thinking it will go up, and it falls. You sell, thinking it will go down, and it rebounds.
This kind of "discrepancy" is a common challenge faced by many individual investors.
So, where does the cause lie?
### The Reason for Losing Despite Correct Analysis
Many investors are by no means trading without thinking.
- They check the news.
- They check economic indicators.
- They analyze the charts.
And yet, their results are not stable.
The reason lies in
**"the lack of consistency in their decision-making axis."**
### The Market Doesn't Move for a "Single Reason"
The current Japanese stock market has a structure where multiple factors have a simultaneous impact.
- Corporate earnings (Fundamentals)
- Fund flows by investor type (Supply and Demand)
- Interest rates and exchange rates (Macro)
- Overseas markets (US stocks, semiconductor index, etc.)
As these overlap, a state is created where
**"reasons to rise" and "reasons to fall" exist at the same time.**
### Why Do Decisions Waver?
In this environment, investors unconsciously take these actions:
- Changing their decision based on the latest news.
- Wavering in their judgment due to paper losses.
- Taking profits too early.
As a result,
they end up in a state of
**not trading with the same rules.**
### What Investing Requires is a "Standard," Not a "Prediction"
What's important here is the point that
**investing is not a "guessing game."**
What is truly important in investing is
- What is the probability of it rising?
- How much risk is there?
- What kind of price range can be expected?
It is
**a judgment based on "expected value."**
### The Concept of "AI Forecast for Tomorrow's Nikkei Average"
Against this backdrop, what is gaining attention is the
**"AI Forecast for Tomorrow's Nikkei Average."**
In the AI Nikkei Average × Bitcoin diagnosis, it presents as numerical values:
- Probability of rise
- Probability of fall
- Expected price range
This is not about "will it rise or fall?"
**but rather "which side has how much of an advantage."**
### Analysis Integrating Multi-dimensional Data
This AI does not analyze a single indicator but integrates multiple market factors for its analysis.
- Fundamentals like corporate earnings and PER
- Trading trends of foreign investors
- Supply and demand data like margin balance
- Technical indicators
- Exchange rates, VIX, US market
- Bitcoin market
By combining these, it
**reconstructs the market as "probability."**
### Bringing "Consistency" to Judgment
By utilizing such information, changes like these can be expected:
- Entry criteria become clear.
- Stop-loss decisions become mechanical.
- One becomes less susceptible to emotions.
As a result,
**there is a possibility that the reproducibility of trades will increase.**
### Still, the Future Cannot Be Predicted
Of course, with any analysis method,
**it is impossible to predict the future completely.**
But what is important is
**"to accumulate probabilistically advantageous decisions."**
### Summary: The Reason for Continuous Losses Lies in the "Structure"
The reason investment results are not stable is not due to
- a lack of knowledge, nor
- a lack of information.
It is often the case that it lies in
**"the decision-making structure not being defined."**
### [PR] The Choice to "Judge Tomorrow's Nikkei Average by Probability"
If you feel that
- your trades lack consistency,
- you are hesitant in your decisions, or
- you are swayed by emotions,
then it might be a good idea to consider incorporating the approach of
**"AI Forecast for Tomorrow's Nikkei Average"**
as one of your decision-making materials.
Judging by probability, not by feeling.
That is becoming one of the standards for the future of investing.
➡ [AI Forecast for Tomorrow's Nikkei Average] An investment decision support app where an AI analyzes the probability of rise/fall and expected price range for the Nikkei Average × Bitcoin
*This article is for informational purposes only and does not recommend specific investment actions. Please make your final investment decisions at your own risk.
### Author Profile
Yasuyuki Takiuchi
CEO / AI Trading Strategist at Phoenix Connect Inc.
He has a cross-disciplinary career spanning engineering, strategy, and data science, with experience in aviation, heavy industry, foreign consulting, tech companies, and AI research. He started his career as an aircraft engineer at Japan Airlines (JAL), then experienced a posting in New York with Kawasaki Heavy Industries (KHI). Through practical work in a global environment, he cultivated a foundation in structural thinking and quantitative analysis.
He later engaged in business improvement and strategy design at a foreign consulting firm, establishing a logical approach to complex business challenges. Furthermore, at the US NASDAQ-listed company Meta (formerly Facebook), he gained practical experience in AI machine learning, data analysis, and programming, deepening his analytical skills that fuse technology and data.
He began trading in the investment world in 2004. Initially, he experienced cumulative losses of over 60 million yen due to discretionary judgments. This experience led him to the conclusion that "reproducibility cannot be achieved with emotion-dependent investing," and he began research into probabilistic market analysis by AI, integrating fundamental, supply-and-demand, and technical analyses.
As a result of his efforts, he developed an AI model that integrates multi-dimensional data from the Tokyo Stock Exchange and the Bitcoin market, presenting the next business day's probability of rise/fall and expected price range as the "AI Forecast for Tomorrow's Nikkei Average." Currently, he operates and researches a "reproducible investment decision support model" where the AI continuously learns and evolves.
With the philosophy of "reading the market with structure, not emotion," he aims to establish a "reproducible investment strategy" that is practicable even for individual investors, and is engaged in information dissemination and investment support.
Phoenix Connect Inc.
An independent asset formation consulting firm that supports the reproducibility of investment decisions through AI × strategic analysis.
With an overseas base in Kuala Lumpur (Malaysia), it provides analysis and services based on global market data.
Even though you continue to invest in stocks,
have you ever felt,
**"I don't know why I can't win."**
You feel you should be reading the market correctly, yet somehow, you're not left with any profits.
You buy, thinking it will go up, and it falls. You sell, thinking it will go down, and it rebounds.
This kind of "discrepancy" is a common challenge faced by many individual investors.
So, where does the cause lie?
### The Reason for Losing Despite Correct Analysis
Many investors are by no means trading without thinking.
- They check the news.
- They check economic indicators.
- They analyze the charts.
And yet, their results are not stable.
The reason lies in
**"the lack of consistency in their decision-making axis."**
### The Market Doesn't Move for a "Single Reason"
The current Japanese stock market has a structure where multiple factors have a simultaneous impact.
- Corporate earnings (Fundamentals)
- Fund flows by investor type (Supply and Demand)
- Interest rates and exchange rates (Macro)
- Overseas markets (US stocks, semiconductor index, etc.)
As these overlap, a state is created where
**"reasons to rise" and "reasons to fall" exist at the same time.**
### Why Do Decisions Waver?
In this environment, investors unconsciously take these actions:
- Changing their decision based on the latest news.
- Wavering in their judgment due to paper losses.
- Taking profits too early.
As a result,
they end up in a state of
**not trading with the same rules.**
### What Investing Requires is a "Standard," Not a "Prediction"
What's important here is the point that
**investing is not a "guessing game."**
What is truly important in investing is
- What is the probability of it rising?
- How much risk is there?
- What kind of price range can be expected?
It is
**a judgment based on "expected value."**
### The Concept of "AI Forecast for Tomorrow's Nikkei Average"
Against this backdrop, what is gaining attention is the
**"AI Forecast for Tomorrow's Nikkei Average."**
In the AI Nikkei Average × Bitcoin diagnosis, it presents as numerical values:
- Probability of rise
- Probability of fall
- Expected price range
This is not about "will it rise or fall?"
**but rather "which side has how much of an advantage."**
### Analysis Integrating Multi-dimensional Data
This AI does not analyze a single indicator but integrates multiple market factors for its analysis.
- Fundamentals like corporate earnings and PER
- Trading trends of foreign investors
- Supply and demand data like margin balance
- Technical indicators
- Exchange rates, VIX, US market
- Bitcoin market
By combining these, it
**reconstructs the market as "probability."**
### Bringing "Consistency" to Judgment
By utilizing such information, changes like these can be expected:
- Entry criteria become clear.
- Stop-loss decisions become mechanical.
- One becomes less susceptible to emotions.
As a result,
**there is a possibility that the reproducibility of trades will increase.**
### Still, the Future Cannot Be Predicted
Of course, with any analysis method,
**it is impossible to predict the future completely.**
But what is important is
**"to accumulate probabilistically advantageous decisions."**
### Summary: The Reason for Continuous Losses Lies in the "Structure"
The reason investment results are not stable is not due to
- a lack of knowledge, nor
- a lack of information.
It is often the case that it lies in
**"the decision-making structure not being defined."**
### [PR] The Choice to "Judge Tomorrow's Nikkei Average by Probability"
If you feel that
- your trades lack consistency,
- you are hesitant in your decisions, or
- you are swayed by emotions,
then it might be a good idea to consider incorporating the approach of
**"AI Forecast for Tomorrow's Nikkei Average"**
as one of your decision-making materials.
Judging by probability, not by feeling.
That is becoming one of the standards for the future of investing.
➡ [AI Forecast for Tomorrow's Nikkei Average] An investment decision support app where an AI analyzes the probability of rise/fall and expected price range for the Nikkei Average × Bitcoin
*This article is for informational purposes only and does not recommend specific investment actions. Please make your final investment decisions at your own risk.
### Author Profile
Yasuyuki Takiuchi
CEO / AI Trading Strategist at Phoenix Connect Inc.
He has a cross-disciplinary career spanning engineering, strategy, and data science, with experience in aviation, heavy industry, foreign consulting, tech companies, and AI research. He started his career as an aircraft engineer at Japan Airlines (JAL), then experienced a posting in New York with Kawasaki Heavy Industries (KHI). Through practical work in a global environment, he cultivated a foundation in structural thinking and quantitative analysis.
He later engaged in business improvement and strategy design at a foreign consulting firm, establishing a logical approach to complex business challenges. Furthermore, at the US NASDAQ-listed company Meta (formerly Facebook), he gained practical experience in AI machine learning, data analysis, and programming, deepening his analytical skills that fuse technology and data.
He began trading in the investment world in 2004. Initially, he experienced cumulative losses of over 60 million yen due to discretionary judgments. This experience led him to the conclusion that "reproducibility cannot be achieved with emotion-dependent investing," and he began research into probabilistic market analysis by AI, integrating fundamental, supply-and-demand, and technical analyses.
As a result of his efforts, he developed an AI model that integrates multi-dimensional data from the Tokyo Stock Exchange and the Bitcoin market, presenting the next business day's probability of rise/fall and expected price range as the "AI Forecast for Tomorrow's Nikkei Average." Currently, he operates and researches a "reproducible investment decision support model" where the AI continuously learns and evolves.
With the philosophy of "reading the market with structure, not emotion," he aims to establish a "reproducible investment strategy" that is practicable even for individual investors, and is engaged in information dissemination and investment support.
Phoenix Connect Inc.
An independent asset formation consulting firm that supports the reproducibility of investment decisions through AI × strategic analysis.
With an overseas base in Kuala Lumpur (Malaysia), it provides analysis and services based on global market data.
FAQ
What is the 'AI Forecast for Tomorrow's Nikkei Average'?
It's an investment decision support app where an AI provides the probability of a rise/fall and the expected range for the next business day's Nikkei Average by analyzing multi-dimensional data.
Why do many retail investors lose?
This release suggests the main reason is a lack of a consistent decision-making framework, leading to emotional trades influenced by news or unrealized losses, which lack reproducibility.
Will using this AI guarantee profits?
No. It doesn't predict the future perfectly but is a tool for 'accumulating probabilistically advantageous decisions.' The final investment decision is your own responsibility.