Beijing's Proposal of a New Positioning for Stable China-US Relations Worries Scholars about Shrinking Taiwan's Strategic Space

Following the Trump-Xi meeting, scholars are focusing on the new positioning of a 'constructive strategic stability relationship between China and the US' proposed by China. They are concerned that this could narrow Taiwan's strategic space.
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  • 📰 Published: May 15, 2026 at 21:22
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(Central News Agency, Taipei, 15th, Reporter Wu Shu-wei) US President Trump concluded his state visit to China and returned to the United States by special plane this afternoon. Scholars analyze that for the CCP to govern, it must control three things: 'market, propaganda, and force.' A completely open Chinese market is the most difficult impasse in US-China relations. Taiwan needs to pay attention to whether the new positioning of a 'constructive strategic stability relationship between China and the US' proposed by China will lead to a narrowing of Taiwan's strategic space.

US President Donald Trump paid a state visit to China from May 13 to 15. During the welcome banquet, he invited Chinese President Xi Jinping and his wife to visit the White House on September 24. During the talks between Trump and Xi, the Chinese side also proposed establishing a 'constructive strategic stability relationship between the US and China' as a new positioning for the bilateral relationship.

The Institute for National Policy Research held a seminar on 'The Trump-Xi Meeting and Taiwan-US-China Relations' this afternoon, inviting scholars and experts to analyze the impact of this Trump-Xi meeting on the future development of US-China relations and its possible impact on Taiwan.

Kuo Yu-jen, vice president of the Institute for National Policy Research, stated that Trump and Xi are expected to meet four times this year. This was the first time, and the other three are expected to be Xi Jinping's return visit to the US in September, the APEC meeting in Shenzhen, China in November, and the G20 summit in Miami, USA in December. Therefore, it is difficult for this Trump-Xi meeting to have too concrete results.

Regarding the 'constructive strategic stability relationship between China and the US' proposed by the Chinese side, Hung Yao-nan, deputy director of the Center for China Studies at Tamkang University, believes that Beijing wants to tell the world through this summit that 'China is not an isolated country.' By putting the 'constructive strategic stability relationship between China and the US' on the table, Beijing aims to pre-frame future bilateral relations with a concept named by China. Moreover, Trump and Xi are expected to have three more talks this year, making this meeting just a preliminary leaders' meeting.

Regarding Xi Jinping's use of strong language to mention the Taiwan issue to Trump, former representative to the US Stanley Kao said that Trump's attitude was 'I hear you,' and the US side did not respond to the Taiwan issue afterward, which was just respecting the host country's 'opening remarks.' Trump led more than a dozen heavyweight entrepreneurs to visit China this time to showcase the economic, technological, and market strength of the United States. When China wants to set the tone for US-China relations, Trump is thinking about getting more orders and doing more business. The priorities of the two sides are poles apart.

Arthur Tung, CEO of the Asia-Pacific Peace Research Foundation, analyzed that the Chinese Communist Party must grasp three things to govern: 'market, propaganda, and force.' A completely open Chinese market will be the most difficult impasse in US-China relations. The day the Chinese market is completely free and open to US companies will be the day the CCP steps down. Therefore, Beijing will adopt a delaying tactic, slowly and limitedly opening its market, but it will never reach the degree of a completely and thoroughly open Chinese market in Trump's mind.

As for US arms sales to Taiwan, Kuo Yu-jen stated that Trump is not a typical politician, and one should not over-interpret his words. During Trump's first term as president from 2017 to 2021, arms sales to Taiwan reached US$18.3 billion, the highest among all US presidents, and were processed on a case-by-case basis as they arrived, which debunked doubts about Trump or the US.

Kuo Yu-jen pointed out that this time, there were no conclusions on issues such as fentanyl, rare earth controls, and high-tech controls between the US and China, and the Iran issue was 'as good as not discussed.' For Taiwan, the second batch of US$14 billion in arms sales to Taiwan may not be announced until after Xi Jinping's visit to the US in September.

As for the direction of Trump's policy toward Taiwan, Fu Tse-min, an assistant research fellow at the Institute of Political Science at Academia Sinica, believes that the concern is not the specific progress of the arms sales case, but three more fundamental issues: first, whether the new relationship positioning of a 'constructive strategic stability relationship between China and the US' will lead to a narrowing of Taiwan's strategic space; second, whether Trump's unintentional remarks will lead to actions unfavorable to Taiwan; and third, whether Trump has actually loosened the commitment of the 'Six Assurances' to Taiwan made during former US President Reagan's tenure.

Regarding this Trump-Xi meeting, Stanley Kao said that from the perspective of strategic stability and risk control, the comforting part of this US-China summit is that Trump managed to score points or at least not lose points, achieving a 'Go away happy.' But the 'new normal' challenges for future US-China relations are just beginning. (Editors: Lin Ke-lun, Chang Jo-yao) 1150515

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