Experts Predict China Expected to Emerge from Deflation Quagmire This Year

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  • 📰 Published: May 14, 2026 at 10:39
  • 🔍 Collected: May 14, 2026 at 11:02 (22 min after Published)
  • 🤖 AI Analyzed: May 15, 2026 at 08:55 (21h 53m after Collected)
Hong Kong asset management firm O陸 Capital predicts that China will likely emerge from its deflationary slump within this year, possibly by the third quarter. According to CEO Cai Jinqiang, despite economic challenges like local debt and real estate issues, three factors point to recovery: rising global commodity prices causing imported inflation, a record trade surplus of $1.15 trillion boosting currency confidence, and expected rebounds in major city housing prices by mid-year. The yuan is also anticipated to appreciate steadily, aiding the economic turnaround.