May 4th: Impact of US-Iran War on International Economy, Financial Markets, and People's Livelihoods

Following the US President's announcement to assist stranded vessels in the Strait of Hormuz, international crude oil prices temporarily fell but remain above $100 due to the unresolved US-Iran conflict. OPEC+ agreed to symbolic production increases, but their effectiveness is limited by the ongoing blockade.
その他NQ 0/100出典:PR Times

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  • 📰 Published: May 4, 2026 at 17:28
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US-Iran War Key News

Central News Agency

(Central News Agency, Taipei, 4th, comprehensive foreign report) US President Trump announced that the 'Freedom Project' would officially launch on the morning of the 4th, allowing vessels stranded in the Strait of Hormuz to be freed. Upon this news, international crude oil prices immediately fell. However, as the US and Iran have not reached a peace agreement, oil prices remain above US$100 per barrel.

Trump states US will help free stranded Hormuz vessels, international oil prices fall

Reuters reported that as of 23:08 GMT, international benchmark Brent crude futures fell by 64 cents, or 0.59%, to US$107.53 per barrel; it closed down US$2.23 on May 1st.

US benchmark West Texas Intermediate (WTI) crude fell US$3.13 on May 1st and further dropped 84 cents, or 0.82%, on the 4th, to US$101.10 per barrel.

Key OPEC+ members agree to increase production in June, symbolically raising over 180,000 barrels

The Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries and its allies (OPEC+) key members agreed on the 3rd to slightly increase their June production quotas, but this increase is largely symbolic as long as Iran's war continues to disrupt oil supplies in the Persian Gulf region.

Reuters reported that a statement issued after an online meeting of OPEC+ indicated that seven OPEC+ member countries would increase production by 188,000 barrels per day in June, marking the third consecutive month of oil production increases.

Bloomberg News reported that this move by key OPEC+ members remains largely symbolic, as the organization will not truly be able to implement the production increase unless the currently blocked Strait of Hormuz reopens and Persian Gulf exports resume.

US-Iran war causes tankers to reroute to the Gulf of Mexico, US crude oil exports hit record high

During the Iran war, tankers from around the world flocked to the US Gulf Coast to load crude oil, making the Port of Corpus Christi, Texas, the busiest in its history.

As Iran blocked the Strait of Hormuz, effectively isolating the two major ports in the Persian Gulf from the world, US crude oil exports soared to record highs, increasing the importance of the Port of Corpus Christi.

According to data from shipping tracking agency Kpler, in April this year, US oil exports surged to 5.2 million barrels per day, an increase of more than 30% from 3.9 million barrels per day in February before the war.

Iran war impacts energy lifeline, ADB lowers Asia's economic outlook

Due to high reliance on energy supplies from the Middle East, Asia has become a core region affected by the spillover effects of the Iran war. Countries have lowered economic growth forecasts and warned that surging import costs could push inflation much higher than expected a few weeks ago, with rising prices bringing more pain.

The Financial Times noted that with increasing uncertainty in the economic activity outlook, the Asian Development Bank (ADB) has lowered its growth forecast for developing economies in the region. ADB currently forecasts Asia's economic growth rate at 4.7% for this year and 4.8% for 2027, lower than the previous estimate of 5.1% for both years.

ADB also predicts that inflation will reach 5.2% this year, higher than 3% last year.

High oil prices exacerbate impact, aviation industry consolidates flights to meet summer peak season

To cope with the uncertainty brought by the Iran conflict and the continuous rise in aviation fuel prices, the UK government stated on the 3rd that it plans to temporarily allow airlines to consolidate flights and concentrate passengers during the summer travel peak season to reduce instances of temporary flight cancellations.

US financial media CNBC reported that this plan also allows airlines to release some takeoff and landing slots without affecting their right to use them in the next season.

The UK government stated in a statement: 'These temporary measures will allow airlines to consolidate multiple flights to the same destination on the same day.'

Hormuz Strait blocked, German century-old factory produces urea to address fertilizer shortage

As Iran's blockade of the Strait of Hormuz disrupts the global economy, a more than century-old factory in Wittenberg, an eastern German town, is working to fill critical supply gaps, massively producing urea, ammonia, and other products needed for fertilizer.

AFP reported that about one-third of the world's fertilizer is typically transported through the Strait of Hormuz, and the World Trade Organization (WTO) has warned that the blockade of these waters threatens global food security, especially in Africa and South Asia.

US-Iran conflict cuts off pilgrims, 80% of hotels in Iraq's holy city Najaf cease operations

The US-Iran war has impacted Iraq's religious tourism industry. The Imam Ali Shrine in the holy city of Najaf, once bustling with pilgrims, is now empty, causing distress to local businesses and hotel operators.

Saeb Abu Ghneim, head of the Najaf Hotels Association, told AFP that 80% of Najaf's 250 hotels have ceased operations, with over 2,000 employees laid off or put on unpaid leave. He added that local religious tourism revenue mainly comes from Iranian visitors, followed by Lebanese tourists and other nationalities who are also trapped at home due to the war. (Editor: Hong Pei-ying) 1150504

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