Private TTX Political-Economic Wargame Commences, Focusing on Post-Trump Global Restructuring Challenges
Taiwanese private think tanks initiated the '2026 TTX Political-Economic Wargame' to simulate the 2030 post-Trump global landscape. The exercise focuses on Taiwan's policy resilience and response capabilities against China's grey-zone threats and potential blockades.
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- 📰 Published: April 15, 2026 at 12:00
- 🔍 Collected: April 15, 2026 at 12:31 (31 min after Published)
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(CNA Reporter Yu Kai-Hsiang, Taipei, 15th) The '2026 TTX Political-Economic and Military Landscape Wargame' commenced today. The organizers pointed out that this exercise uses 2030 as its background scenario, simulating the 'post-Trump global restructuring' under variables such as comprehensive US-China strategic competition and Middle East conflicts. The primary focus is on Taiwan's policy resilience and response capabilities when facing China's grey-zone threats and blockade scenarios.
Co-organized by the Institute of International Relations at National Chengchi University, the Taiwan Center for Security Studies, and the Asia-Pacific Policy Research Association, the '2026 TTX' wargame is being held from today until tomorrow, with the results expected to be announced tomorrow. Attendees include Kuomintang Legislator Chen Yeong-kang, Chairman of the Chinese Council of Advanced Policy Studies Alexander Huang, and retired Lieutenant General Tien Tsai-mai.
Organizers stated that the exercise utilizes systematic scenario design and cross-disciplinary analysis to explore Taiwan's strategic options and policy responses under complex security pressures. The scenario is built upon the context of 'post-Trump global restructuring', assuming that the US and China remain in comprehensive strategic competition, accompanied by multiple variables including Middle East conflicts, energy supply chain shocks, and escalating regional security tensions.
Under this framework, the exercise further sets China's actions against Taiwan as 'grey-zone coercion' combining political, military, and economic means, which may gradually escalate into blockade-oriented actions to test Taiwan's response capabilities and policy resilience.
Regarding the objectives, this exercise breaks away from traditional military-centric wargaming models. Instead, it adopts an integrated 'political, economic, military, and societal' framework, emphasizing cross-domain interaction and systemic risk analysis. Through multi-scenario simulations and decision-making mechanisms, the exercise examines the constraints and cascading effects of policy choices in complex environments. The ultimate goal is to propose feasible and strategically consistent policy recommendations.
The organizers highlighted two core themes. The first is the continuous escalation of China's political and military pressure on Taiwan. The second is the long-term challenges brought about by the restructuring of the global economic system. Based on this, the exercise constructs multi-layered scenarios and establishes 11 wargaming groups to conduct structured analysis and simulation assessments across different policy domains. Concurrently, it requires that all policy recommendations adhere to practical principles of 'affordability, accountability, and adaptability' to ensure operational feasibility.
Alexander Huang stated in a pre-event interview that the private sector's wargaming of the Taiwan Strait situation complements the ongoing Han Kuang computer-simulated military exercises. The two are not in competition but rather combine government and private efforts to jointly develop defense operations and societal resilience response plans.
Huang further noted that this private wargame places special emphasis on critical infrastructure and societal resilience, covering power plants, maritime and air transportation, and energy reserves. Even if a war between the US and Iran occurs far away, it can still impact Taiwan; therefore, the exercise specifically simulates the effects of distant crises on Taiwan's whole-of-society resilience. (Editor: Hsieh Chia-chen)
Co-organized by the Institute of International Relations at National Chengchi University, the Taiwan Center for Security Studies, and the Asia-Pacific Policy Research Association, the '2026 TTX' wargame is being held from today until tomorrow, with the results expected to be announced tomorrow. Attendees include Kuomintang Legislator Chen Yeong-kang, Chairman of the Chinese Council of Advanced Policy Studies Alexander Huang, and retired Lieutenant General Tien Tsai-mai.
Organizers stated that the exercise utilizes systematic scenario design and cross-disciplinary analysis to explore Taiwan's strategic options and policy responses under complex security pressures. The scenario is built upon the context of 'post-Trump global restructuring', assuming that the US and China remain in comprehensive strategic competition, accompanied by multiple variables including Middle East conflicts, energy supply chain shocks, and escalating regional security tensions.
Under this framework, the exercise further sets China's actions against Taiwan as 'grey-zone coercion' combining political, military, and economic means, which may gradually escalate into blockade-oriented actions to test Taiwan's response capabilities and policy resilience.
Regarding the objectives, this exercise breaks away from traditional military-centric wargaming models. Instead, it adopts an integrated 'political, economic, military, and societal' framework, emphasizing cross-domain interaction and systemic risk analysis. Through multi-scenario simulations and decision-making mechanisms, the exercise examines the constraints and cascading effects of policy choices in complex environments. The ultimate goal is to propose feasible and strategically consistent policy recommendations.
The organizers highlighted two core themes. The first is the continuous escalation of China's political and military pressure on Taiwan. The second is the long-term challenges brought about by the restructuring of the global economic system. Based on this, the exercise constructs multi-layered scenarios and establishes 11 wargaming groups to conduct structured analysis and simulation assessments across different policy domains. Concurrently, it requires that all policy recommendations adhere to practical principles of 'affordability, accountability, and adaptability' to ensure operational feasibility.
Alexander Huang stated in a pre-event interview that the private sector's wargaming of the Taiwan Strait situation complements the ongoing Han Kuang computer-simulated military exercises. The two are not in competition but rather combine government and private efforts to jointly develop defense operations and societal resilience response plans.
Huang further noted that this private wargame places special emphasis on critical infrastructure and societal resilience, covering power plants, maritime and air transportation, and energy reserves. Even if a war between the US and Iran occurs far away, it can still impact Taiwan; therefore, the exercise specifically simulates the effects of distant crises on Taiwan's whole-of-society resilience. (Editor: Hsieh Chia-chen)