Almost No Overlap: Comparing the US's 15-Point Plan with Iran's 10 Conditions

The British newspaper "The Guardian" reported that the Trump administration presented a 15-point plan to Iran in late March, based on a negotiation framework from May 2025. The May framework had previously fallen through due to a 12-day war launched by Israel against Iran and US bombing of Iranian nuclear facilities.

Neither the US, Iran, Israel, nor the mediating parties have disclosed the details of the US's 15-point plan. Currently, only key points can be glimpsed from content disclosed by Israel's Channel 12 on March 25. Key points include:

. Dismantling Iran's nuclear facilities in Natanz, Isfahan, and Fordow.

. Transferring Iran's existing enriched uranium stockpile to the International Atomic Energy Agency (IAEA) and committing to allow IAEA supervision of all aspects of remaining nuclear facilities. Iran would also be prohibited from enriching uranium domestically.

. Lifting all sanctions imposed on Iran and terminating UN mechanisms that would restart sanctions.

. US assistance for power generation at Iran's Bushehr civilian nuclear power plant.

The Guardian, however, disclosed that this proposal, which the US calls a "term sheet," contains many conditions difficult for Iran to accept, such as restrictions on the use of funds after sanctions are lifted. The US also only committed to lifting nuclear-related sanctions, while other sanctions, including human rights sanctions, would remain.

The US content also mentioned that funds released after sanctions are lifted must not be used to finance missile programs, and demanded that all uranium stockpiles be immediately removed from Iran, with uranium enrichment reduced to 3.67%. All enrichment facilities must lose operational capability within one month, and centrifuges must be rendered inoperable.

According to content published by "Nour News," under Iran's Supreme National Security Council, Iran's 10-point plan is:

2. Iran maintains control of the Strait of Hormuz.

5. Lifting all indirect sanctions targeting foreign entities dealing with Iranian institutions.

7. Terminating all International Atomic Energy Agency (IAEA) resolutions regarding Iran's nuclear program.

10. A comprehensive ceasefire on all fronts, including the conflict between Israel and Hezbollah in Lebanon.

Axios News reported that US President Trump stated in a statement announcing a temporary ceasefire yesterday that Iran's 10 conditions were a "viable basis" for negotiation, surprising some hawkish allies. This is because, according to the version released by Iran, these conditions include Iran controlling the Strait of Hormuz, the right to retain enriched uranium, lifting all sanctions, and receiving war reparations.

Trump posted on Truth Social about the US's 15-point negotiation plan, claiming that both the US and Iran had reached a consensus on many of its terms. He explicitly stated that Iran would not be allowed to enrich uranium and that the US would cooperate with Iran on its highly enriched uranium stockpile, adding that the US would discuss "tariffs and sanction relief" with Iran during negotiations.

Later, Trump stated in another post that Iran's publicly announced 10 demands differed from the content submitted to the US, and that the "closed-door discussions" would be based on the version the US received. He said, "These are the 'key points' on which we agreed to a ceasefire. These contents are reasonable and not difficult to achieve."

The White House stated later on the 8th that the content published by Iran was not the basis for the ceasefire. White House Press Secretary Karoline Leavitt stated that the US agreed to a ceasefire only after Iran modified its original proposal and presented a more reasonable and streamlined content.

Iran did not respond to Trump's and other US statements, and state media continued to publish their publicly released version of the content. (Compiled by Chen Yi-wei) 1150409